Hello dear reader(s)!
As you know I am a Bernie Sanders supporter. However, unlike many Sanders supporters, I will vote for Hillary Clinton in the general election should she get the nomination. With the Iowa caucuses being as close as they were, it seems the pundits are missing the real message. What they are missing, and what they don’t want you to know, is that many voters who lean toward the Democrats will not come out for Clinton. Her record of being to the right on many issues important to the left makes it difficult to tell the difference between her and the Republicans.
Now I know that because of the extreme nature of the Republican’s right wing turn during this election, that there is definitely a difference. However, without the recent hard right turn there really wouldn’t have been. And the left is getting sick and tired of choosing between the lesser of two evils.
That is what is truly terrifying. When the Clinton machine controls the Democratic party to the point of pushing extremely hard for her in what should be a fair contest, it not only will keep people from going to the polls, but it may cause people to abandon the party all together. Or voting at all in any election.
Clinton’s media and supporters have dismissed the Sanders supporters as being young and unlikely to vote, but Iowa shows that they will come out, even in tedious caucuses if there is motivation. We already know that the large Republican sweeps have been in record-low periods of voter turnout. The Democrats cannot continue to believe they can win in an election where their voters don’t show up. History has proven otherwise.
The close results in Iowa should not have been such a surprise to either the Clinton camp nor the establishment Democrats who might as well be her camp. The issue is in polling. Everyone was predicting a pretty easy walk for Clinton because the polling samples “likely voters”. Sanders voters are the unlikely voters. The voters the Democrats are going to need to beat the “angry definitely will vote” voters of the Republicans.
Clinton supporters, (to their credit), are more pragmatic. If Sanders were to win the nomination, it seems a good percentage of Clinton supporters would look to the general election and be so terrified of the theocrats like Cruz, and the fascists like Trump, they would turn out. They would at the very least come out for the Congressional vote. They would want to keep control of the nation from those who would force Muslims to have identification and would ban more from coming. They would come out to keep those who would ignore Supreme Court rulings that they felt didn’t jive with their interpretation of the bible from running a government where the Constitution is not as important to them as their take on their religion. The Clinton supporters are likely voters.
The Clinton supporters are likely voters. But in terms of likely voters, the Republicans have the edge. They are by far the minority (especially lately) but they show up. In a contest of likely voters, the election will be much closer than the Democrats assume.
So what should the Democrats do?
You get the Sanders supporters and a large percentage of the Clinton supporters voting in the general election. You clean house in the Congressional election and you have a progressive in the white house. You bring out the unlikely voters, and the likely voters, and trounce the Republicans in a way that makes them seriously rethink their positions.
This is obviously just my opinion. I am not working for anyone but myself and in the interests of stopping a Republican sweep that could destroy our country in terms of personal freedoms, equal rights, social safety nets, and religious freedom.
However the “surprise” closeness of the caucuses in Iowa only serves to reinforce my opinion and the hypothesis made.
If the Democrats want to win, in all their races, and have a functioning government once they do…they will abandon Hillary Clinton as the appointed nominee and allow all the voters to have a voice about the nominee. They will schedule more debates when the ideas can be heard. They will quit trying to force a nominee upon the people and see how things play out.
If the machine stopped trying to push Clinton, I think Sanders could win the nomination. I’ve explained why Sanders would do better in the general election. I will vote for the nominee regardless. But the question becomes whether or not my fellow Sanders supporters will. As long as the machine tries to force Clinton upon them, I wouldn’t bet on it. If they don’t, it could be a very long few years.